S&P 500 Index
Short

SPX500 spot might have carved a meaningful top at 3233

436
SPX500 sport should ideally remain below 3233, the June 09, lower top. The recent pullback rally from 2965 lows also looks to be complete at 3153, or might print another high, staying below 3233. Either way, high probability remains for a sharp reversal lower towards 2200 and 1750 in the next few weeks to come. Structurally, SPX500 has carved an impulse drop, followed by a corrective rally; a 5-3 pattern. The earlier drop between 3400 and 2200 was in 5 waves, Wave (1) on the chart. It was followed by a corrective rally A-B-C, towards 3233 levels, Wave (2) on the chart. If the above is correct, prices would hold below 3400 and continue lower towards 2200 and beyond. The conventional Head and Shoulder reversal pattern also indicates a potential Right Shoulder being carved around 3233 levels.

Strategy:

Short against 3400, targeting below 2200.

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