Waiting for the worst...
In the chart we have the SPX versus the US10Y (US 10 Year Government Bonds Yeld Rate, in the blue line).
We are at a peak moment.
In principle, the rate in US10Y is inverse, that is, when it goes down, more people are buying — more people leave the stock market and buy government bonds.
The correlation with SPX is high in periods of extreme volatility, as shown in the circles.
Frighteningly, the US10Y is close to the same levels as March/2018 and October/2018.
If it drops like it did before, will we see a strong correction in global markets?
Analyzing the US10Y alone:
The US10Y has broken up a long bearish channel.
The RSI (Relative Strength Index) indicates an extremely stretched value, signaling a possible reversal to the downside.
On the weekly chart it is in a resistance test region, similar to the periods mentioned.
We are at a peak moment.
In principle, the rate in US10Y is inverse, that is, when it goes down, more people are buying — more people leave the stock market and buy government bonds.
The correlation with SPX is high in periods of extreme volatility, as shown in the circles.
Frighteningly, the US10Y is close to the same levels as March/2018 and October/2018.
If it drops like it did before, will we see a strong correction in global markets?
Analyzing the US10Y alone:
The US10Y has broken up a long bearish channel.
The RSI (Relative Strength Index) indicates an extremely stretched value, signaling a possible reversal to the downside.
On the weekly chart it is in a resistance test region, similar to the periods mentioned.
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