Shorting SPX at 3K
Updated
Trades exactly along the TL formed by Sep double tops. Just a guess- maybe it will sell a bit from here.
I bought 10 each SPY 300P Nov 25s; QQQ Nov 29 194s and DIA Nov 22 268 puts. In $5 bear spreads against Friday's weeklies, reduces cost by ~10%.
If it sells great; if not, collect the weeklies.
This is NOT advice; trade at your own risk! GLTA!
I bought 10 each SPY 300P Nov 25s; QQQ Nov 29 194s and DIA Nov 22 268 puts. In $5 bear spreads against Friday's weeklies, reduces cost by ~10%.
If it sells great; if not, collect the weeklies.
This is NOT advice; trade at your own risk! GLTA!
Trade active
Added 5 more contracts to each position; now in 45 spreads. Not shorting IWM today!Wait to see how it closes...
Trade active
Added an additional 5 contracts to each spread as the drift back and forth ITM/OTM. Get discount on long contracts when OTM; the short weeklies stay about the same, a little less. Now doubled position into 60 contracts. This is how I roll.Trade active
Added to position on lift to 3010, which was not unexpected. Took a nice realized gain from short puts in bear spreads and rolled down and out for a credit. Now in 30 put spreads; adding again if we see 3020. Don't wanna have a tight spread if it tanks suddenly the shorts will kill any gains! Now spread 25 Nov 300P v 28 Oct 296.5P.Note
Clarification in 30 SPY spreads; have added to total position now holding 120 bear spreads over four indices. Took out ~3k on the shorts this mornin!Trade active
Added ten moar spreads in PM trade just before it rolled over, up around 3012. I feel like a fkg genius!Trade closed manually
Took what the market gave me. Can still go either way. Watch the candles!Trade active
Re-entered three bear spreads on Weds rally again. Shorting each rally in a small way as it seems to be in daily distribution- pump in AM, dump in PM. FOMC on Weds will trigger the pivot either way IMO. Expect test of ATH before throwover.Trade active
Added in early session and rolled short sides down and out. Added a few more on the midday bounce.Trade active
Increased by 5 lots again in AM trade. Rolled up profits on the short legs. I'm holding this over weekend; usually I don't do that but we shall see. Break feels imminent, can come anytime.Trade active
Weds FOMC likely catalyst to break. Econo reports this week and jobs on Friday... let the distribution begin!I'm in SPXS, TECS, puts on IWM, QQQ, SPY + DIA. Even bought calls on UVXY... those got weak Friday lol! Holding it, add on Monday if we see 3030!
Note
Added on this monster rally. Smacks of a bull trap- at double top.Trade active
Rolled my Nov 25 SPY 302P up to 303 for pennies. DJT is Red; divergence. NB: Vix INCREASING on an UP day! It's a washout ATH IMO.Note
Gaps to fill back down to 2949. 3067 is 1.272 Fibo. See if it gets it. Add if it does!Note
Volume low: 1.2m an hour before the close. Traded 3x that on Thurs & Fri.Note
Yea Dow Theory at work: volume not confirming trand; divergence in averages: a bull trap IMO.investopedia.com/terms/d/dowtheory.asp
Note
Past month chart appears to be an irregular expanded flat, with 'B' higher than start point of 'A'. If so, 'C' will be most impressive.Note
Alphabet after hours ER miss put a damper on the post-session futurez! Could still get a low-vol last push to 3067 on FOMC optimism. Whether they cut again or not, markets are priced for perfection now and will certainly sell on the news. I'm all in on short side atm.Trade closed manually
Action after the FED action is bullish. Might reverse but R/R is poor; stopped out and preserved a nice gain!
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