The first wake-up calls from some giants have already begun to arrive. It remains to wait for the time lag at high rates to work out, then we will officially enter a recession. I expect a decent drop in the income of most companies, the real estate market as well as the banking sector will be in a terrible state. It's not finished yet, be careful.
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Note
Do you believe in a 50% rally down?The inversion of the yield curve is growing, which historically has always been a precursor to a recession, but always with a different time interval. It is generally accepted that from the start of a cycle of aggressive Fed rate hikes to the real impact of a rate hike on the economy, a certain amount of time passes, the so-called "time lag". Now we see fairly strong economic data that has been published for the last 2 quarters, but do not forget that all the positive data allows the Fed to raise the rate higher and higher, which may eventually lead to a new wave of inflation and a deep recession. I expect a recession in the US in the next 2 quarters and a possible fall in the indices until mid-2024, after which we will see a new cycle of growth and "pumping" the markets. Not an investment recommendation. Good luck to everyone and please subscribe.
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The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.