🟨 SP500 Around Post-War Recessions
Todays study follows analysis on the Post-War Recession Start Dates.
We evaluate the price action the 12 months before Start of Recession and 12 months after Start of the Recession.
What we can easily evaluate that once and IF a Recession is confirmed we have about 5.8% more (ON AVERAGE) to the downside and the next 2 months are most volatile.
From then on we can see that within 10months (the Median length of a Recession) the Market comes close to full recovery.
DATA FROM FOLLOWING START OF RECESSION PERIODS
11/30/1948
07/31/1953
09/03/1957
05/02/1960
12/31/1969
11/30/1973
01/31/1980
07/31/1981
07/31/1990
04/02/2001
12/31/2007
03/02/2020
We evaluate the price action the 12 months before Start of Recession and 12 months after Start of the Recession.
What we can easily evaluate that once and IF a Recession is confirmed we have about 5.8% more (ON AVERAGE) to the downside and the next 2 months are most volatile.
From then on we can see that within 10months (the Median length of a Recession) the Market comes close to full recovery.
DATA FROM FOLLOWING START OF RECESSION PERIODS
11/30/1948
07/31/1953
09/03/1957
05/02/1960
12/31/1969
11/30/1973
01/31/1980
07/31/1981
07/31/1990
04/02/2001
12/31/2007
03/02/2020
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