Today, I want to publish a chart showing the relationship between SPX and the SPX/M2SL.
Briefly, the idea is that if the ratio reaches its extreme (the upper or the lower Bollinger Band), the SPX will bounce. I marked it with colorful arrows, and the vertical lines show the exact timing of the decision moments, with the following direct moving in the opposite direction.
M2Sl is simply the M2 Money Stock measure, which is a key indicator of the money supply in the United States. It includes all components of M1 (such as cash and checking deposits) plus several less-liquid assets like savings deposits, small-denomination time deposits, and retail money market funds (according to the fred.stlouisfed.org/series/M2SL)
If the SPX/M2SL confirms its double bottom this time, we may see a relief rally (even in the short term for the current bearish environment). I like this framework, it is slow, and helps to find some ground under your feet.
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The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.