We all know that global indices have been under pressure whilst the US dollar and bond yields scream higher. But with the S&P 500 respecting key levels of support and forming a bullish hammer on Wednesday, perhaps it is time for at least a sympathy bounce?
Furthermore, the hammer low perfectly respected trend support and closed above the 200-day EMA, with a bullish RSI (2) that curled higher from oversold and the RSI (14) is itself nearing oversold.
We're not looking for a strong risk-on rally, but a small bounce (perhaps towards the August lows of 4400 gap resistance level) may not be such a crazy idea. At which point we could seek evidence of a swing high and a potential break of trend support.
Naturally, an immediate break of yesterday's low would also invalidate trend support and likely signal its next let lower.
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