Trading Plans for WED. 10/04 - Bad News Good News?
S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for WED. 10/04
The lower-than-expected ADP numbers seem to be giving some hope that the bad news could soften the rising yields and the Fed going forward. The yields have already retreated this morning, and the index is trying to find a floor and rebound. Since our published trading plans two weeks ago pointing out that week's 4505 level as potential top for the near term, the market has been in a free fall mode. Our models indicate 4310 as the level to close above for the current bearish bias to be negated.
Any hope derived from bad/disappointing economic numbers could eventually morph into a concern for the economy and the potential recession talk down the road. Until a clear directional bias emerges to the bullish side, trading with technicals and confirmations appears the prudent way, rather than trading on fundamentals.
Aggressive, Intraday Trading Plans:
For today, our aggressive intraday models indicate going long on a break above 4285, 4270, 4245, 4220, or 4204 with a 9-point trailing stop, and going short on a break below 4265, 4240, 4229, 4217, or 4200 with a 9-point trailing stop.
Models indicate explicit long exits on a break below 4280, and explicit short exits on a break above 4232. Models also indicate a break-even hard stop once a trade gets into a 4-point profit level. Models indicate taking these signals from 10:01am EST or later.
By definition the intraday models do not hold any positions overnight - the models exit any open position at the close of the last bar (3:59pm bar or 4:00pm bar, depending on your platform's bar timing convention).
To avoid getting whipsawed, use at least a 5-minute closing or a higher time frame (a 1-minute if you know what you are doing) - depending on your risk tolerance and trading style - to determine the signals.
(WHAT IS THE CREDIBILITY and the PERFORMANCE OF OUR MODEL TRADING PLANS over the LAST WEEK, LAST MONTH, LAST YEAR? Please check for yourself how our pre-published model trades have performed so far! Seeing is believing!)
NOTES - HOW TO INTERPRET/USE THESE TRADING PLANS:
(i) The trading levels identified are derived from our A.I. Powered Quant Models. Depending on the market conditions, these may or may not correspond to any specific indicator(s).
(ii) These trading plans may be used to trade in any instrument that tracks the S&P 500 Index (e.g., ETFs such as SPY, derivatives such as futures and options on futures, and SPX options), triggered by the price levels in the Index. The results of these indicated trades would vary widely depending on the timeframe you use (tick chart, 1 minute, or 5 minute, or 15 minute or 60 minute etc.), the quality of your broker's execution, any slippages, your trading commissions and many other factors.
(iii) These are NOT trading recommendations for any individual(s) and may or may not be suitable to your own financial objectives and risk tolerance - USE these ONLY as educational tools to inform and educate your own trading decisions, at your own risk.
#spx, #spx500, #spy, #sp500, #esmini, #indextrading, #daytrading, #models, #tradingplans, #outlook, #economy, #bear, #yields, #stocks, #futures, #inflation, #recession, #softlanding, #higher4longer, #higherforlonger, #adp
The lower-than-expected ADP numbers seem to be giving some hope that the bad news could soften the rising yields and the Fed going forward. The yields have already retreated this morning, and the index is trying to find a floor and rebound. Since our published trading plans two weeks ago pointing out that week's 4505 level as potential top for the near term, the market has been in a free fall mode. Our models indicate 4310 as the level to close above for the current bearish bias to be negated.
Any hope derived from bad/disappointing economic numbers could eventually morph into a concern for the economy and the potential recession talk down the road. Until a clear directional bias emerges to the bullish side, trading with technicals and confirmations appears the prudent way, rather than trading on fundamentals.
Aggressive, Intraday Trading Plans:
For today, our aggressive intraday models indicate going long on a break above 4285, 4270, 4245, 4220, or 4204 with a 9-point trailing stop, and going short on a break below 4265, 4240, 4229, 4217, or 4200 with a 9-point trailing stop.
Models indicate explicit long exits on a break below 4280, and explicit short exits on a break above 4232. Models also indicate a break-even hard stop once a trade gets into a 4-point profit level. Models indicate taking these signals from 10:01am EST or later.
By definition the intraday models do not hold any positions overnight - the models exit any open position at the close of the last bar (3:59pm bar or 4:00pm bar, depending on your platform's bar timing convention).
To avoid getting whipsawed, use at least a 5-minute closing or a higher time frame (a 1-minute if you know what you are doing) - depending on your risk tolerance and trading style - to determine the signals.
(WHAT IS THE CREDIBILITY and the PERFORMANCE OF OUR MODEL TRADING PLANS over the LAST WEEK, LAST MONTH, LAST YEAR? Please check for yourself how our pre-published model trades have performed so far! Seeing is believing!)
NOTES - HOW TO INTERPRET/USE THESE TRADING PLANS:
(i) The trading levels identified are derived from our A.I. Powered Quant Models. Depending on the market conditions, these may or may not correspond to any specific indicator(s).
(ii) These trading plans may be used to trade in any instrument that tracks the S&P 500 Index (e.g., ETFs such as SPY, derivatives such as futures and options on futures, and SPX options), triggered by the price levels in the Index. The results of these indicated trades would vary widely depending on the timeframe you use (tick chart, 1 minute, or 5 minute, or 15 minute or 60 minute etc.), the quality of your broker's execution, any slippages, your trading commissions and many other factors.
(iii) These are NOT trading recommendations for any individual(s) and may or may not be suitable to your own financial objectives and risk tolerance - USE these ONLY as educational tools to inform and educate your own trading decisions, at your own risk.
#spx, #spx500, #spy, #sp500, #esmini, #indextrading, #daytrading, #models, #tradingplans, #outlook, #economy, #bear, #yields, #stocks, #futures, #inflation, #recession, #softlanding, #higher4longer, #higherforlonger, #adp
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From The CFA Institute:
tradersai.com/14625-2/
blogs.cfainstitute.org/investor/2022/12/15/what-can-ai-do-for-investment-portfolios-a-case-study/
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From The CFA Institute:
tradersai.com/14625-2/
blogs.cfainstitute.org/investor/2022/12/15/what-can-ai-do-for-investment-portfolios-a-case-study/
Join our substack: tradersai.substack.com/
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