That time of year again! | September
Updated
If you look at the stock market as a game, each month has different odds for success, the best odds are in December when you have a 77% chance of making money and having a positive return. The odds are in your favor in most of the other months, except September when there’s only a 50/50 chance of profiting in the stock market.
It’s September again so any number of articles will remind us that September has been the worst month for US stock markets. September leaps off the page as being the only month with an average negative return, and the magnitude of average loss is serious at -0.8%.
September has been the worst performing month because first It has the lowest average return. The average loss in September has been -0,8%, due in part to the fact that the worst month ever happened in a September. A 29.7% loss in September 1931 is the worst monthly loss ever. All of the other 11 months have positive average returns and second 49 of the past 97 Septembers – 51% have suffered losses, contrasted to the other months that have had positive returns 64% of the time.
Gold and International Stocks are the best performing asset classes in September with a .48% average return, which is half the average monthly return on the S&P500. Gold has delivered positive returns in September 84% of the time. The best month for gold is January, and the worst is March. International Stocks have delivered positive returns 69% of the time. December is the best month for this asset class and April is the worst month.
Preferred stocks have the worst September performance, losing -0.91% on average. These stocks win only 48% of the time, so not a good bet plus September is the worst month in history of bitcoin and crypto market as well
Remember trend is your friend so if you got 100X degen long leverage you should be ready for some margin call
which stock or crypto you shorting now?
It’s September again so any number of articles will remind us that September has been the worst month for US stock markets. September leaps off the page as being the only month with an average negative return, and the magnitude of average loss is serious at -0.8%.
September has been the worst performing month because first It has the lowest average return. The average loss in September has been -0,8%, due in part to the fact that the worst month ever happened in a September. A 29.7% loss in September 1931 is the worst monthly loss ever. All of the other 11 months have positive average returns and second 49 of the past 97 Septembers – 51% have suffered losses, contrasted to the other months that have had positive returns 64% of the time.
Gold and International Stocks are the best performing asset classes in September with a .48% average return, which is half the average monthly return on the S&P500. Gold has delivered positive returns in September 84% of the time. The best month for gold is January, and the worst is March. International Stocks have delivered positive returns 69% of the time. December is the best month for this asset class and April is the worst month.
Preferred stocks have the worst September performance, losing -0.91% on average. These stocks win only 48% of the time, so not a good bet plus September is the worst month in history of bitcoin and crypto market as well
Remember trend is your friend so if you got 100X degen long leverage you should be ready for some margin call
which stock or crypto you shorting now?
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