In this analysis, I look at the current SPX 1Hr Ichimoku Cloud vs. recent historical performance.
Summary: A Major Bearish Ichimoku Cloud is forming on SPX Hourly. In the last 2 years, only 3 clouds like this have formed like this, each resulting in a significant dip.
Observations; Mar '20: Major Crash 15% on first dip, followed by more - Unclear if current cloud may result in similar crash
Sep '20: Significant Dip 10.6%, happened with 2 bearish clouds - Current cloud has possible short-term similarity
Oct '20: Significant dip 8.9%, happened with 2 bearish clouds - Current cloud has possible short-term similarity
Current:
1.Major bearish (red) cloud has formed, Kijun Sen (red line) is dominant. - This is a significant red cloud formation compared to red cloud formations over the last 2 years. - You can observe just 3 more occasions such a significant red cloud formed, which resulted each time with a significant dip or crash - A dip of around 10% from ATH (similar to last red Ichi clouds) would result in a pullback of the SPX to 4100 range
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.