Hi everyone, SPX is currently playing Impulse Intermediate wave 5 of a Main A Wave. Most probable targets for this Wave 5 are 4212 and 3976. Because last Wave 2 (in blue) was very strong, im expected at least a troncated wave 5 at 4212. 4358 (100% of fobonnacci) is the 1st possible Wave 5 target but i would be very surprised if the market makers are not bringing the market down to 4212 because a double bottom would provide us a better bounce back for the next B wave and can at the same time create a bullish divergence on lower timeframes like the 4 hours or 1 day chart. We should not forget that the last january 04rt SPX began a Cycle wave 4 retracement. Here are the most probable targets for this full Cycle Wave 4 Retracement :
0.24% = 3878.24 0.30% = 3643.26 0.382% = 3322.12 0.50% = 2860 0.618% = Golden fib at 2398
We must keep in mind Cycle Wave 2 of SPX was pretty strong in March 200, which make this Cycle Wave 4 more chance to be light. Usually most probable target for a W4 is in between 0.3% and 0.5%. With inflation currently slowly stablizing a little , 3643.26 or even 3878.24 are on the table and pretty realistic.
For now im projecting the next B Wave in between 4443.89 and 4729.88.
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