SPX Roadmap Sep 2017

By Neon

Updated

Resolution time window

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Consensus speculative positioning/hedging finally bullishest of the year. Good precondition

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Seems the triangle is a bit different but effect is same

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Bears have capitulated across variety of metrics. Price action needs to confirm still

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Very risky waters here

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More and more likely action from mid June to end Aug is triangle Wave 4, so then currently should be some Wave 5 of lower degree

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FED announced QT to begin Oct 2017. Just let me do a simple analogy: In 2014, FED stopped QE in Oct 2014, US Eco peaked in 1Q15 and SPX topped out in May/July 2015. Now, FED starts QT, US Eco is still accelerating but let's say it peaks in late 2017/early 2018, then SPX makes a major top in May 2018 at around 2700?

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Will be interesting to see whether algos will raise SPX higher into 2520s by Q end (it is quarter end next week). I will be surprised if not, seems it is Wave 5 of 5 of 3

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Toiling, toiling for marginal/meaningless new highs, but time consuming

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As expected, higher high into Q end

Neon

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