S&P 500 Rips Into Resistance- Bulls on Notice

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The S&P 500 has rallied more than 15.6% off the lows with the bull now testing confluent resistance at 5531/43- a region defined by the 78.6% retracement of the monthly range and the April high-day close. Note that a three-point resistance slope converges on this threshold and the immediate advance may be vulnerable while below.

Initial support rests with the 4/22 reversal close at 5285- losses below this threshold would threaten another bout of selling towards the yearly low-day close (LDC) near 5061.

A topside breach / close above this hurdle exposes the monthly open at 5600 and the 61.8% retracement of the decline off the record highs at 5634- look for a larger reaction there IF reached.

Bottom line: The index is testing resistance here- losses would need to be limited to 5285 IF price is heading higher on this stretch with a close above 5434 needed to clear the way for the next leg of the advance.
-MB

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