S&P 500: Buy Zone
Updated
The buy zone labeled in the chart is my level of interest to get long.
- It's the approximate measured target for the weekly H&S setup
- 50% retracement from the covid low to the all time high (3550)
- 200 week moving average (see chart below)
- Horizontal support from September - October 2020
200 week moving average history since 1978:
In 2001 and 2008 price was not able to reclaim the 200 week moving average until after it dropped 35-45% below it. It's possible we see something similar in 2022-2023, so this isn't an obvious blind long. Risk always needs to be managed. I'll be watching for signals to buy on the daily chart and manage risk from there.
For long term investors that have a simple DCA approach, the 3550 - 3200 area could be a decent spot to initiate a % of that $ allocation.
- It's the approximate measured target for the weekly H&S setup
- 50% retracement from the covid low to the all time high (3550)
- 200 week moving average (see chart below)
- Horizontal support from September - October 2020
200 week moving average history since 1978:
In 2001 and 2008 price was not able to reclaim the 200 week moving average until after it dropped 35-45% below it. It's possible we see something similar in 2022-2023, so this isn't an obvious blind long. Risk always needs to be managed. I'll be watching for signals to buy on the daily chart and manage risk from there.
For long term investors that have a simple DCA approach, the 3550 - 3200 area could be a decent spot to initiate a % of that $ allocation.
Note
SPX at the 50% retrace today and q4 2020 resistance which should provide support.I'm not a buyer here today but not looking to short either. See how it closes out the week. Remains a needle in a haystack environment
Note
Key levels holding up - I've been a buyer this week on select names. Odds are pointing to a rally into the red zone displayed in the image:
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