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S&P 500 Index
Short

SPX Drawdown

By Panos22
S&P500 shows signs of fragility as equity breadth is not healthy and many hedge funds are starting to pile up shorts. Policy uncertainty ( Trump tariffs ) and unstable geopolitical developments will push stocks lower until the beginning of March. Although this will be a 15%-20% drawdown, I believe that the S&P500 will reach new highs in Q2, as the monetary policy will become more accommodative ( more rate cuts from the Fed priced in later this year), and more stocks from other sectors ex-tech will take the lead in a more reflationary, pro-growth macro environment.
Trend Analysis
Panos22

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