Let`s take a look at the year and what we see is a huge but delayed Sell-Off compared to the european market!
SPX500 started this year @ 2.666 and was struggeling since then! adter the first sell-off in January 2018 loosing more than 12% we`ve seen the first signs of fear and panic. The uncertainty continued until April before the market decided to give it anotther try and we`ve "bought" an uptrend to the SPX500 ATH @ 2.940!
What a run - But the double-top-pattern came 8 days later and caused a new massive sell-off! The breakout and retest of the Trendchannel confirmed the panic and cause more bearish power.
We gave it another attempt.. and bounced off again. The S&R-Flip was cut in stone. The last attempt was just a desperate act of team Bulls..but they had to surrender.
GG WP?
The next break below this "Tripple-Bot / Tripple-Top ala range was a volatile walk on a knife edge, and the high volume continuation of the sell-off confirmed that.
We`ve retested two converging trendlines and the Range of Feb. 2017 - June 2017 which is almost at the 1.618 Extension of the first Sell-Off! A retracement as a retest of the recent support @ 2.600 is pretty likely and should give the bulls another chance to turn this game into their favour.
Overall you can see the market is still very freaking volatile and attractive to daytrade. After the recent massive sell-off below the low of the YEAR at 2.530, team BEARS didn`t stop until we`ve reached the low of two converging trendlines @ 2.2321. We´ve retraced 38,2% but it should be pretty likely to retest at least the years low or the 61,8% retracement, which is excactly at the previous support (2.600).
The Wave-Count is not complete anymore.. I don`t know why, but it just dissappeare and I`m a lazy person! ;-D You can see that we are still in a correction.
The question is: Will this still be a correction? Or do we head into a downtrend?
We are currently in WAVE 4 of WAVE (Y) (which is actually WAVE C).. but I think it`s easier to understand that way.
All fundamentals are pretty bearish! Looking at the FED`s policy and its plans to increase the interest rate we will ahve to expect way less liquidity, consume and investments in the market.
THIS IS NOT GOOD FOR THE WALLSTREET ;-D
We will see what happens!
I WISH YOU A HAPPY NEW YEARS EVE! Enjoy the time with family and friends! :-)
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Peace and good trades Irasor
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