SPY speculation
Updated
As we know, today the market dropped incredibly in according to the Asian markets. We have been playing off the same trendline support for the past month and a half. Every time we come down into the region we form either an inverse head and shoulders or cup and handle as our reversal pattern. This time we formed a cup and handle pattern. Usually during reversals, we will see the market make a structure low that will trigger oversold and then another one that will actually register as neutral strength. This time we saw the market make a structure low (highlighted in blue circle) and then it registered oversold (yellow circle highlighted). However, we didn't see a retest of new lows to produce a neutral RSI. Instead we saw price just advance higher which makes me speculate if this channel that we have been playing in for over a month will finally be done. We might see it spill over, we did close red on the year just a few days ago. Sentiment isn't too great, be careful, I can see this coming back down after a minimal rally.
Note
After hours is bearish, I was right about this bull trap.
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