Why is everyone shocked about rates rising as the market moves down...its seems to fit the logic as stated and is the Newtonian force-action see-saw:
You buy bonds and the interest rate goes down....you sell them and or don't purchase and they must go up in yield.
How has that been broken with the chart I have shown. Well it's due to outside structures forcing a "paper trade" kind of, technical analysis wishy washy, excuse of why things are not moving as they should.
Well, you didn't want to face the music after 2003 so the printer ripped right into the bank pockets, "protecting inflation from the little man". Well that caused 2008, which needed even more bank help even though they got a bunch since 2003 (see previous post and the debt rocketing after 2008)
So now you need to slam more debt, circa 2008, and the bonds are being bought cause the market basically went nowhere for another 6 or 7 years.....But then there was a change to how things were run....a loosening per say:
Now the banks can play in the stock market once the downturn of 16 started and the Entertainer was brought in to keep people pacified as things were turning down( almost like now, eh?). You see the magic rainbow that occurred from '15 to '16, well that was a last ditch effort to save the banks coughing up blood from terrible investments. So as I said, the Entertainer was brought in to pacify everyone to allow for the cutting of rates and "Dow to the Moon"...(kinda reminds you of "bitcoin to the moon" now, no?) and that worked until 2018...one more cut and print jober while stacking the market was attempted but now the foreign banks were going down and China refused to help the US after its initial injection in 2008.
So, rates are slashed, you crash in 19 and you need something to kind of start to take people's attention off how everything is going down around them(kinda like now with tariffs or fentenyl crap, eh?)....maybe to target that big nation who refused any more bond help or financial backing...like China maybe. Hence the cough was rolled out to allow emergency powers acts to engage and the secrecy of money moving was shrouded from eyes under said act...kinda like in 2001...huh, wonder if related somehow.
Well this was supposed to cripple foreign entities, especially Russia, since the US was already arming Ukraine under the Entertainer who no one cared to see what he signed off on, both his planeloads of money and weapons to the Z-man...then that Shoulder sticker which conveniently everyone has forgotten he solely pushed and claimed "beautiful responsibility for"---didn't that ruin career and cost lives...hmm, 2001 connection again, who knows, but you know.
So why does this explain the bonds turning around...it's due to the countries of the East seeing the coordinated NATO response to said cough and the banking sectors getting mass injections of cash to try and undo liabilities that went bad. However, this caused them to turn that cash into working capital by pumping stocks and signing mass M&A deals and all from all the companies going under or being crippled from the cough...again, damn near as convenient as those passports being fireproof, lucky be a lady.
So now you engage in the bonds climbing with the market cause there is no money in bonds yielding like 1 or less percent...but when you have unemployment money, crypto money, and payment protection plan money screaming into the market...you stop it all for midterm elections and then the crash of '22 in fall occurs.
But hold on to your laces buddy, Pelosi Put is to the rescue with a Chips act which fuels all the "AI" to suddenly become a thing apparently, even though its been in every video game since like 2008-9 and was basically the Alexa and Siri,....so way to fall for that one people. Well that caused dollar stocks to rip into 100, 200, even a 3000 dollar Mexican grille stock... burritos with a 800-900 PE ratio...good analysis there guys.
So the bonds feel neglected and have to hike up their skirt a little more to get attention, to which Russia catches a sniff and asked the US to hold its Beer while the Bear goes to town on their Proxy they were arming since the Entertained was slipped in, in 2016. So The Bear gets sanctioned to "hell and back" while having foreign accounts and treasuries either seized or frozen (hey, where did the 'seize not freeze' story go..hmm). So now no foreigner can trust holding US based assets and the purge begins which really moves the bonds in a fast hurry.
Finally, you have the genius idea to slap the Dragon's ass while he is busy making your stuff that you agree to teach him how to make and then build for you- well everyone saw that public pissing match and reveled XI has the ability to be a sundial if its a clear day out, and he delivered the worst pain shot right back..."Sup Bra', did you say something- we forgot we even do business with you again"
So now you have a country with a population that can buy the hell out of anything, not buying anything due to being a culture of savers(unlike the credit card addicts of the US) suddenly being encouraged to improve their lives and become a tiny bit American and have like heated slippers and maybe a water sprinkler for their dog. So if you think that Uncle Sam is the back breaker of the dear 'ol Dragon...you may need to visit your nearest supply house and see what is on the barcode sticker; if it says USA, see where its base metals, resins, and catalyst chemicals are from...then ask who needs who.
Basically....you slashed rates rather than having like 4 recessions as of now...kinda like the Ozempic people who can't go back in their photo gallery and pinpoint the year they just suddenly were dangerously overweight...nope, just woke up to it...couldn't do a more meat heavy, low insulin driving meal..."gots to keep Frito Lays and the boys at Kraft/Nabisco employed". Well you skipped 4 recessions and you froze foreign assets for no reason and then you decided to let banks play with free money to prop the stock market up- *see JPM has ass earning outside of trading desk...PS MBS and Commercial Real Estate is dead :)
>>So that's why bond yields go up and they need the fed to cut...but it seems since 2022 the 3 month bond went from 0.002% to 4.3 or so as of today....good one fellas, practically within 2 years and you scream higher causing all this debt to roll over at higher rates, like aforementioned Commercial Real Estate having to refinance every 5, 8, or 11 years per many contracts...well 5 years ago a 3 month would be cheap...even a 7 or 10 year at about a percent or less ...but not now...some of my buddies are saying 8% is a dream and 15% is becoming a nightmare in that space...but hey, be like a fat American...make everyone do stuff for you and then wonder why you are on Ozempic and now have intestinal peristalsis problems and feel like SH1t all the time :)
You buy bonds and the interest rate goes down....you sell them and or don't purchase and they must go up in yield.
How has that been broken with the chart I have shown. Well it's due to outside structures forcing a "paper trade" kind of, technical analysis wishy washy, excuse of why things are not moving as they should.
Well, you didn't want to face the music after 2003 so the printer ripped right into the bank pockets, "protecting inflation from the little man". Well that caused 2008, which needed even more bank help even though they got a bunch since 2003 (see previous post and the debt rocketing after 2008)
So now you need to slam more debt, circa 2008, and the bonds are being bought cause the market basically went nowhere for another 6 or 7 years.....But then there was a change to how things were run....a loosening per say:
Now the banks can play in the stock market once the downturn of 16 started and the Entertainer was brought in to keep people pacified as things were turning down( almost like now, eh?). You see the magic rainbow that occurred from '15 to '16, well that was a last ditch effort to save the banks coughing up blood from terrible investments. So as I said, the Entertainer was brought in to pacify everyone to allow for the cutting of rates and "Dow to the Moon"...(kinda reminds you of "bitcoin to the moon" now, no?) and that worked until 2018...one more cut and print jober while stacking the market was attempted but now the foreign banks were going down and China refused to help the US after its initial injection in 2008.
So, rates are slashed, you crash in 19 and you need something to kind of start to take people's attention off how everything is going down around them(kinda like now with tariffs or fentenyl crap, eh?)....maybe to target that big nation who refused any more bond help or financial backing...like China maybe. Hence the cough was rolled out to allow emergency powers acts to engage and the secrecy of money moving was shrouded from eyes under said act...kinda like in 2001...huh, wonder if related somehow.
Well this was supposed to cripple foreign entities, especially Russia, since the US was already arming Ukraine under the Entertainer who no one cared to see what he signed off on, both his planeloads of money and weapons to the Z-man...then that Shoulder sticker which conveniently everyone has forgotten he solely pushed and claimed "beautiful responsibility for"---didn't that ruin career and cost lives...hmm, 2001 connection again, who knows, but you know.
So why does this explain the bonds turning around...it's due to the countries of the East seeing the coordinated NATO response to said cough and the banking sectors getting mass injections of cash to try and undo liabilities that went bad. However, this caused them to turn that cash into working capital by pumping stocks and signing mass M&A deals and all from all the companies going under or being crippled from the cough...again, damn near as convenient as those passports being fireproof, lucky be a lady.
So now you engage in the bonds climbing with the market cause there is no money in bonds yielding like 1 or less percent...but when you have unemployment money, crypto money, and payment protection plan money screaming into the market...you stop it all for midterm elections and then the crash of '22 in fall occurs.
But hold on to your laces buddy, Pelosi Put is to the rescue with a Chips act which fuels all the "AI" to suddenly become a thing apparently, even though its been in every video game since like 2008-9 and was basically the Alexa and Siri,....so way to fall for that one people. Well that caused dollar stocks to rip into 100, 200, even a 3000 dollar Mexican grille stock... burritos with a 800-900 PE ratio...good analysis there guys.
So the bonds feel neglected and have to hike up their skirt a little more to get attention, to which Russia catches a sniff and asked the US to hold its Beer while the Bear goes to town on their Proxy they were arming since the Entertained was slipped in, in 2016. So The Bear gets sanctioned to "hell and back" while having foreign accounts and treasuries either seized or frozen (hey, where did the 'seize not freeze' story go..hmm). So now no foreigner can trust holding US based assets and the purge begins which really moves the bonds in a fast hurry.
Finally, you have the genius idea to slap the Dragon's ass while he is busy making your stuff that you agree to teach him how to make and then build for you- well everyone saw that public pissing match and reveled XI has the ability to be a sundial if its a clear day out, and he delivered the worst pain shot right back..."Sup Bra', did you say something- we forgot we even do business with you again"
So now you have a country with a population that can buy the hell out of anything, not buying anything due to being a culture of savers(unlike the credit card addicts of the US) suddenly being encouraged to improve their lives and become a tiny bit American and have like heated slippers and maybe a water sprinkler for their dog. So if you think that Uncle Sam is the back breaker of the dear 'ol Dragon...you may need to visit your nearest supply house and see what is on the barcode sticker; if it says USA, see where its base metals, resins, and catalyst chemicals are from...then ask who needs who.
Basically....you slashed rates rather than having like 4 recessions as of now...kinda like the Ozempic people who can't go back in their photo gallery and pinpoint the year they just suddenly were dangerously overweight...nope, just woke up to it...couldn't do a more meat heavy, low insulin driving meal..."gots to keep Frito Lays and the boys at Kraft/Nabisco employed". Well you skipped 4 recessions and you froze foreign assets for no reason and then you decided to let banks play with free money to prop the stock market up- *see JPM has ass earning outside of trading desk...PS MBS and Commercial Real Estate is dead :)
>>So that's why bond yields go up and they need the fed to cut...but it seems since 2022 the 3 month bond went from 0.002% to 4.3 or so as of today....good one fellas, practically within 2 years and you scream higher causing all this debt to roll over at higher rates, like aforementioned Commercial Real Estate having to refinance every 5, 8, or 11 years per many contracts...well 5 years ago a 3 month would be cheap...even a 7 or 10 year at about a percent or less ...but not now...some of my buddies are saying 8% is a dream and 15% is becoming a nightmare in that space...but hey, be like a fat American...make everyone do stuff for you and then wonder why you are on Ozempic and now have intestinal peristalsis problems and feel like SH1t all the time :)
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Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.