SPY bottomed June 17th and then uptrended for exactly two months and
reversed on August 16th. In this hourly chart , I show that the downtrend
retraced the uptrend to exactly the Fibonacci level 0.5
Resistance above is (1) the triple top in June as well as consolidation
zones August 22-24 and August 3-5 making the resistance zone
414-419.
The Volume Profile POC is at the Fib 0.618 level while the upper
high volume node is at the above-described resistance zone.
All in all, I see the SPY bouncing off the Fib 0.5 or Fib 0.618
and making its move towards the resistance zone.
I will play this with call options expiring September 7th.
If resistance breaks, I will close a portion of the calls
and let the rest run. If it holds, I will close them all and
roll over the profit into out of the money put options
expiring September 9th.
Please comment, what do you think?