⚡️ Gov SHUTDOWN?! Market will tank?! What to do in this case? ⚠️
Updated
⚡️Some shutdown insights with chart:
Chart shows longest shutdown: 12/22/18 - 1/25/19
The fear factor has always been PRE-shutdown. Not DURING or POST-shutdown.
⚡️That means what?
⚡️So is shutdown really bad for markets?
⚡️But why?
Good luck. 🙂
SPY 
QQQ 
TSLA 
AAPL DIA
Chart shows longest shutdown: 12/22/18 - 1/25/19
The fear factor has always been PRE-shutdown. Not DURING or POST-shutdown.
⚡️That means what?
- If we shutdown, we may dip say 2-3%.
- But what happens during shutdown?
- You'd be surprised market actually RECOVERS during shutdown. BY A LOT.
- During the shutdown in 2018-2019, the market recovered the ENTIRE DIP, whole +15%.
- That's the same thing that happened in 2013. The market rose 3% during shutdown.
⚡️So is shutdown really bad for markets?
- No. Only shutdown fears really cause a dramatic effect BEFORE it happens.
- Remember the psychology of "priced in". Once a shutdown happens and market reacts for a day or 2, it's priced in.
⚡️But why?
- After the shutdown happens, anything is good news.
- If they announce a deal, that's good news.
- If they vote, that's good news.
- Thus, market does well during shutdowns.
Good luck. 🙂
SPY QQQ TSLA AAPL DIANote
House passes bill. Senate now.This will allow 45 more days.
Meaning more volatility/ uncertainty for 45 more days.
Bullish short-term on "good news".
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