Short Put on SPY 75% probability of profit

Updated
After a Gap down, Sold the 254 put for $4 for a 75% probability of profit.

We make money as long as the price stays above 250. It needs to move another 6% down for us to start losing money.
Note
Target:

Will look to close if we get 50% of the credit received, or $200.
Note
Here is a video description of this trade and how to make similar trades.

youtube.com/watch?v=WSDskosGQlk
Trade closed manually
Closed for a $155 profit (original target was $200), but That is over 38% of the credit received and 77% of my original target in 3 trading days which was pretty fast and above average in terms of premium per day for this trade. So decided to take profit.
Chart Patternsoptions-strategyputSPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) Trend Analysis

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