Weekly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for March 10โ€“14, 2025

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๐ŸŒ Market-Moving News ๐ŸŒ:

๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ“‰ China's Retaliatory Tariffs ๐Ÿ“‰: In response to U.S. tariffs, China has imposed up to 15% tariffs on U.S. products, including cotton, chicken, corn, and soybeans. This escalation raises concerns about a potential global trade war, which could negatively impact U.S. exporters and broader market sentiment.

๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ’ถ European Fiscal Expansion ๐Ÿ’ถ: Germany has announced significant increases in defense and infrastructure spending, marking a shift in fiscal policy. This move may stimulate European economic growth, potentially affecting U.S. markets through interconnected global trade and investment channels.

๐Ÿ“Š Key Data Releases ๐Ÿ“Š:
๐Ÿ“… Wednesday, March 12:

๐Ÿ“ˆ Consumer Price Index (CPI) (8:30 AM ET) ๐Ÿ“ˆ:The CPI measures the average change over time in prices paid by urban consumers for a basket of goods and services, serving as a key indicator of inflation.
Forecast: +0.2% month-over-monthโ€‹
Previous: +0.3% month-over-monthโ€‹

๐Ÿ“… Thursday, March 13:
๐Ÿญ Producer Price Index (PPI) (8:30 AM ET) ๐Ÿญ:The PPI reflects the average change over time in selling prices received by domestic producers, offering insights into wholesale inflation trends.
Forecast: +0.1% month-over-monthโ€‹
Previous: +0.2% month-over-monthโ€‹

๐Ÿ“… Friday, March 14:
๐Ÿ›’ University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index (10:00 AM ET) ๐Ÿ›’:This index measures consumer confidence regarding personal finances, business conditions, and purchasing power, providing insights into consumer sentiment.
Forecast: 95.0โ€‹
Previous: 96.4โ€‹

โš ๏ธ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult with a professional financial advisor before making investment decisions.โš ๏ธโ€‹

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