Storebrands operates in banking, asset management and insurance.
The insurance segment has filled up its coffers according to the solvency II regulation, meaning there should be plentiful of cash accessible in the future for dividends which should interest investors looking for good cash flow and dividends.
The trade is not a super exciting trade but feels like a rather certain one at current prices which is low by historic standards.
The main risk with the trade is negative interest rates which could affect the insurance operations negatively. The main opportunity is a change in investor sentiment towards companies with strong cash flow and dividends.
I set my first price target at 56 Norwegian crowns (NOK) which is around recent highs. My stop loss is set beneath the trend line (see the chart) and beneath recent support at 48 NOK.
Long term I believe that the Storebrand will trade higher, perhaps reach 60 NOK in 2020. However, the path there is not very likely without retracement. I will use retracements as buying opportunities provided that the overall trade fundamentals remain intact throughout 2020.