SUI/USDT Short

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🧠 Overview
Market: SUI/USDT
Timeframe: 4H
Bias: Bearish
Structure Type: Internal Market Structure Shift (iMS), Internal Break of Structure (iBOS)
Trade Type: Trend Continuation after Failed Bullish Breakout
Tool Set: Structure Zones, iBOS Labels, Trendlines, Wave Momentum Indicator, EMAs

🧱 Context Building: Market Structure Analysis
The 4H chart on SUI/USDT provides a textbook case of a swing market structure breakdown following a false breakout attempt.

✅ What We Observed:
Bullish internal market structure (iMS) led to multiple internal breaks of structure (iBOS), confirming higher lows and building bullish momentum.

Price consolidated between the ascending support line and horizontal resistance around $2.35.

Despite two clean iBOS, the price failed to break the swing high—a signal of internal bullish weakness.

🔻 Confirmation: Bearish Shift in Structure
Key Confirmation Events:
Break of Ascending Trendline
Price decisively broke below the ascending diagonal trendline, invalidating bullish continuation.

Internal Lower High Forms
A new lower high formed after failing to clear $2.35, which confirmed the start of a bearish internal trend.

Momentum Oscillator Flips Bearish
Using a wave-style oscillator, we observe:

Red dots appearing on top of momentum waves.

Decreasing money flow index (flowing toward zero or negative).

Bearish divergence relative to previous highs.

EMA Rejection
Price is trading below a fast EMA (likely 9 or 21 EMA), and the moving average has begun to curl downward, further confirming a momentum shift.

🎯 Trade Execution
🛑 Entry Trigger
Entry: On confirmed break and close below trendline and support at $2.30.

Confirmation: Momentum oscillator showing bearish crossover and price retesting structure as resistance.

🧷 Stop Loss Placement
Stop Loss: Placed just above the lower high around $2.35–$2.37.

This invalidates the trade if price reclaims bullish territory.

📉 Target Zones
TP1: $2.00 psychological round number.

TP2: $1.94 – previous structural support / weekly level.

TP3 (optional): Trail further if breakdown accelerates with strong volume.

🪙 Risk-Reward Profile
Entry Stop Loss TP1 TP2 R:R Estimate
$2.28 $2.36 $2.00 $1.94 ~2.5 - 3.0x
The trade offers an excellent R:R ratio when executed after trendline break and bearish momentum alignment.

🔄 Trade Management
After Entry: Monitor price reaction at $2.24 zone. If price bounces hard and reclaims the broken trendline, consider partial exit or move SL to breakeven.

If TP1 is hit: Move stop to breakeven, secure profits, and let the rest run to TP2.

Exit Full Trade: If bullish structure begins forming with an iBOS above $2.35.

🔎 Lessons & Takeaways
Structure Breaks Matter More Than Candle Patterns: The loss of structure support carried more weight than bullish candle wicks or oversold indicators.

Internal Structure Gives Early Signal: The iBOS and lower highs signaled the reversal before the BOS occurred.

Confluence is King: Combining market structure, trendlines, and momentum indicators gives confidence in bias.

🧭 Final Thoughts
This SUI/USDT trade is a high-probability example of trading against weak highs from internal structure after a failed breakout. By reading market structure correctly and executing with discipline, this setup aligns well with smart money principles and can be consistently repeatable across assets and timeframes.

Disclaimer

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