Just a quick note on the Eurostoxx specifically to highlight:
1. We are now most definitely trading below the 2 year uptrend that was causing the ongoing corner formations, good to get that out of the way
2. The index has found support temporarily off the March lows and various highs from 2020
3. If this breaks, which we expect it will sooner or later, the target is the lower end of the red trend channel at 3000 as we mentioned yesterday. Should things develop into something more akin to 08/09 then we’re looking at the blue line down at 2400.
In the meantime, we just wanted to bring more clarity to the picture today by indicating the ideal entry point for further shorts (highlighted in the orange circle), that crash protection is a must if net long in our opinion, crash protection is probably a good idea in 6 months puts, and that if we trade higher towards the back of the uptrend we could be looking at a repeat of something like the 3830 to 3500 move that we saw in the first two weeks of June.
If we get there, we do not think we stay there for too long so we are starting to compile a list of single stocks in both Europe and US that look like they would be attractive if the market were down a further 10%. Those that are on our value list and print any form of accumulation indicator on the platform will be our best foot forward for clients. Stay tuned.