TEXRAIL : What is after Sharp Decline?

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TEXRAIL: Elliott Wave Analysis - Weekly Chart


Source: LiveTradingBox | Chart Date: March 18, 2023

Overview

Texmaco Rail & Engineering Ltd. (TEXRAIL) rallied from 60 INR (early 2023) to 280 INR (mid-2024), a 366% gain, but has corrected to 124.27 INR. Using Elliott Wave and Fibonacci, this analysis projects the next moves.
Elliott Wave Outlook

  • [] Wave (A): Decline from 280 INR to 124 INR (complete).
    [] Wave (B): Counter-trend rally expected to 162–173 INR ("First Wave C completion zone").
  • Wave (C): Final decline projected to 120–128 INR ("Correction Wave C completion zone").

Key Levels

  • [] Resistance: 162–173 INR (Wave (B) target).
    [] Support: 120–128 INR (Wave (C) target); 100.74 INR (stop loss on weekly close).
  • Fibonacci: 162–173 INR aligns with 23.6%–38.2% retracement of Wave (A); 120–128 INR matches 113%–127% extension.

Price Action & Volume

  • [] Stock consolidating near 124 INR with smaller candlesticks, indicating indecision.
    [] Volume decreasing, suggesting a potential reversal or continuation.

Trading Strategy

  • [] Bullish (Wave (B)):
    • [] Buy on confirmation above 128 INR.
      [] Target: 162–173 INR.
      [] Stop Loss: Below 100.74 INR (weekly close).
      [] R:R ≈ 1.63:1.
    [] Bearish (Wave (C)):
    • [] Short below 120 INR.
      [] Target: 100.74 INR.
    • Stop: Above 128 INR.

Conclusion

TEXRAIL is in a corrective ABC pattern. Expect a Wave (B) rally to 162–173 INR, followed by a Wave (C) decline to 120–128 INR. A weekly close below 100.74 INR turns the outlook bearish. Monitor price action and manage risk.
Disclaimer: For educational purposes only. Trading involves risks; do your own research.

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