THETA at Rock Bottom? The Bounce Could Be Legendary

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For the past 136 days, THETA has been in a strong downtrend, shedding an incredible -82% from its high at $3.351. Recently, it tapped into a major support level at $0.617, interesting that it's like the golden ratio 0.618. And it bounced off it beautifully. Over the last few days, we’ve seen a notable surge in volume, hinting at potential accumulation. Could this be one of the best times to scale in? It might just be. An 82% discount is no joke.

🔑 Key Levels to Watch

The $1 level is the key psychological and technical resistance everyone’s eyeing. Longing from current levels to $1 offers a solid +40% gain, not bad at all. But let’s zoom out and get the bigger picture with some Fibonacci levels.

snapshot

Using Fib retracement on the full 136-day move down:
  • 0.236 Fib = $1.252 → Approx. +75% from current price
  • 0.382 Fib = $1.653 → Roughly +135% gain

These are solid mid- to long-term upside targets if bullish momentum builds.

📈 Trade Setup & R:R
  • Invalidation: Current low at $0.600
  • Monthly Open: $0.804. Reclaiming and flipping this level into support would be a bullish sign.
  • Current Resistance: Around $0.71, where the anchored VWAP (yellow line) aligns with a yearly level. This needs to be broken and ideally retested as support.

We might also be seeing the early formation of an inverse head and shoulders pattern. While the “head” is still developing, if this setup plays out, the target sits at $1.5.

And here’s the kicker:

That $1.5 region lines up with multiple higher timeframe moving averages, adding significant weight to the level:
  • Monthly 21 EMA: $1.52
  • Monthly 21 SMA: $1.47
  • Weekly 21 SMA: $1.514

snapshot

This confluence makes $1.47–$1.52 a major magnet for price and a likely take-profit or reaction zone if momentum continues.
👉 Feel free to use this indicator—just head over to my profile and under the Scripts section, add it to your favorites. Enjoy.

🎯 Risk to Reward Potential

These setups have excellent R:R potentials, ranging from 3:1 to over 60:1, depending on entry, stop-loss placement, and target selection. These are the kinds of high-probability setups that traders dream of. Clean structure, strong support, major upside, and clear invalidation.

If we see a breakout above $1 with strong volume, it could act as a catalyst for an even faster move toward higher Fib levels and MA targets.

Didn’t want to go too deep, but this lays out a clear roadmap with levels to monitor and possibilities to consider. The rest depends on how new data unfolds in the coming weeks. As always... plan your trade, manage your risk, and let the market come to you. Keep monitoring volume, structure, and key levels. The opportunities are here, now it's about execution.
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