b]📉 The Bitcoin Trust Flow Cycles Model: What Comes Next
Video idea here:
Friends, if you’ve seen my last two posts, you already know — we’re no longer relying on broken halving cycles or outdated narratives.
We’re now in the realm of The Bitcoin Trust Flow Cycles™ by FXPROFESSOR — a framework that maps how trust moves between Bitcoin and traditional assets like U.S. Treasuries.
And today’s update? It might be the most important one yet.
🔁 Quick Recap: What Is This Model?
This model tracks Bitcoin’s relationship to long-term U.S. Treasury Bonds (TLT), cycling between:
• Correlated Periods (Blue): BTC and TLT move in the same direction
• Inverted Periods (Green): BTC and TLT move in opposite directions
And here’s the magic:
These flips often occur right at key structural levels in the bond market.
🧠 Where Are We Now?
We’re still in an Inverted Period — the 6th major one.
• TLT (Treasuries) are dropping again
• Bitcoin is rising against that backdrop
• The previous support at ~86.8 failed — we are now sliding toward the next major level
That level?
📌 71.32 – the all-time structural support for TLT going back to 2004
It’s the same zone that sparked Bitcoin’s explosive moves in the past.
📉 My Expectation:
• TLT continues sliding lower
• It finds support around 71–76
• Once that happens, we enter a Reversion Phase — where Bitcoin and TLT rise together again
• Bitcoin doesn’t just “survive” the macro shakeout — it thrives on it
This would be the 6th inversion-to-correlation flip in the model — and historically, these have marked powerful Bitcoin trends.
📊 Why This Model Matters
This isn't just about price.
It’s about trust.
It’s about rotation.
It’s about macro capital flow.
Forget halving hype — this model focuses on how institutional trust migrates between old systems (bonds) and new systems (Bitcoin).
When TLT fails, Bitcoin rises.
When TLT finds support, Bitcoin joins in.
This is not just a macro hedge.
This is the new cycle narrative.
🔍 What to Watch:
• Does TLT drop to 71?
• Do we find a bottom and reverse?
• Does BTC correlate again and break out above 115?
If so — we may be on the cusp of a new correlated bull leg.
This post builds on the foundation I laid here:
📌 [The Bitcoin Trust Flow Cycles™]
📌 [New Era: Bitcoin’s Macro Model is Changing]
This is part 3.
The signal is there.
The rotation is happening.
The trust is shifting.
Are you watching?
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
Video idea here:
Friends, if you’ve seen my last two posts, you already know — we’re no longer relying on broken halving cycles or outdated narratives.
We’re now in the realm of The Bitcoin Trust Flow Cycles™ by FXPROFESSOR — a framework that maps how trust moves between Bitcoin and traditional assets like U.S. Treasuries.
And today’s update? It might be the most important one yet.
🔁 Quick Recap: What Is This Model?
This model tracks Bitcoin’s relationship to long-term U.S. Treasury Bonds (TLT), cycling between:
• Correlated Periods (Blue): BTC and TLT move in the same direction
• Inverted Periods (Green): BTC and TLT move in opposite directions
And here’s the magic:
These flips often occur right at key structural levels in the bond market.
🧠 Where Are We Now?
We’re still in an Inverted Period — the 6th major one.
• TLT (Treasuries) are dropping again
• Bitcoin is rising against that backdrop
• The previous support at ~86.8 failed — we are now sliding toward the next major level
That level?
📌 71.32 – the all-time structural support for TLT going back to 2004
It’s the same zone that sparked Bitcoin’s explosive moves in the past.
📉 My Expectation:
• TLT continues sliding lower
• It finds support around 71–76
• Once that happens, we enter a Reversion Phase — where Bitcoin and TLT rise together again
• Bitcoin doesn’t just “survive” the macro shakeout — it thrives on it
This would be the 6th inversion-to-correlation flip in the model — and historically, these have marked powerful Bitcoin trends.
📊 Why This Model Matters
This isn't just about price.
It’s about trust.
It’s about rotation.
It’s about macro capital flow.
Forget halving hype — this model focuses on how institutional trust migrates between old systems (bonds) and new systems (Bitcoin).
When TLT fails, Bitcoin rises.
When TLT finds support, Bitcoin joins in.
This is not just a macro hedge.
This is the new cycle narrative.
🔍 What to Watch:
• Does TLT drop to 71?
• Do we find a bottom and reverse?
• Does BTC correlate again and break out above 115?
If so — we may be on the cusp of a new correlated bull leg.
This post builds on the foundation I laid here:
📌 [The Bitcoin Trust Flow Cycles™]
📌 [New Era: Bitcoin’s Macro Model is Changing]
This is part 3.
The signal is there.
The rotation is happening.
The trust is shifting.
Are you watching?
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
📣 Professor's Public Telegram:
💬 t.me/fxprofessor88
🌍🚀 CryptoGPT Trading Agent is the Future:
cryptogpt.io/
💹 Join My Forex Community:
fxprofessor.com/forex-special
💬 t.me/fxprofessor88
🌍🚀 CryptoGPT Trading Agent is the Future:
cryptogpt.io/
💹 Join My Forex Community:
fxprofessor.com/forex-special
Related publications
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
📣 Professor's Public Telegram:
💬 t.me/fxprofessor88
🌍🚀 CryptoGPT Trading Agent is the Future:
cryptogpt.io/
💹 Join My Forex Community:
fxprofessor.com/forex-special
💬 t.me/fxprofessor88
🌍🚀 CryptoGPT Trading Agent is the Future:
cryptogpt.io/
💹 Join My Forex Community:
fxprofessor.com/forex-special
Related publications
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.