Long

TLT

Updated

We have a nice convergence on week chart. Normally, bonds start rise half year before recession, so I expect in next 2-4 weeks it will start rising.

1 target - 115$
2 target - 121$
3 target - 135$

But it`s long term investing - 180-360days, so better to wait when it will start rise.

Note

I think we are at good point to buy, probably we will go a little bit lower to 80$ to update LL but I am not waiting price lower than 75$. For now trend is still bearish so I will update idea in a months.

Note

I am confident that 80-90 is a bottom of downtrend
confirmation - above 97$

Trade active

We're nearing 100; our next target is 110. If there's a correction to 95-93, it'd be a great opportunity to buy at a lower price. Most likely, we'll see a continuous uptrend for the next 3-5 months.

Note

Nice pullback. Now, it's crucial not to close under $93 on weekly chart to sustain the upside momentum.

Note

Not much to say; still holding at $93 and remaining bullish. It's a good price to buy. The strong dollar may prolong the correction, but the targets remain valid. The period between March and May could very possibly see a strong manipulative move, and according to the inversion of bond yields, it is the perfect timing.

Note

High Fed rate -> strong dollar -> weak TLT. The expectation about the Fed rate changed from 3-5 decreases this year to 1-2. As a result, we have seen a fall in TLT. Targets remain the same, but we will likely see them later, possibly by the end of the year or market unexpectedly will fall sooner.

bohdanpolishchuk

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