Since last week's close, TLT has fallen a little about 4%, pushing decisively below 2009-2010 lows. Some have interpreted this post as a suggestion to go long bonds, or a suggestion that bonds will definitively reverse higher here. While some of my posts do present a definite directional forecast, this particular one is more about presenting key levels—and the intersection of price with those important levels. This post suggests merely the more observational point that price has reached major, very long-term downside levels after breaking long-term uptrends, so it should be worth watching here. Price could bounce here given how extended it is to the downside, and no one should be surprised. Yet price could continue its free fall as it has, falling much lower than anyone expected. No one knows with certainty, and arguments support the case on either side in this instance. This is why the post above suggested only the potential for a bounce given the confluence of long-term and Fibonacci levels. So far, no bounce has appeared, and price continues its substantial decline this week.