Idea for TLT:
- According to consumer expectations, US is already in a recession. Dow hit ATH through this, so a headfake is due.
- We have been patient, but Treasury auction today is a good turning point.
- Long Jan 20, 2023 145C for 8.60 debit
GLHF
- DPT
- According to consumer expectations, US is already in a recession. Dow hit ATH through this, so a headfake is due.
- We have been patient, but Treasury auction today is a good turning point.
- Long Jan 20, 2023 145C for 8.60 debit
GLHF
- DPT
Note
This may well be the last auction before cutbacks, and signal a top in supply. Advantageous to grab them now while nobody wants them. Simple supply and demand!Note
US10Y has topped at 1.666: Note
Short interest up 63% in 2 months, bond bears doubling down in their belief in the unreal (inflation), widow maker short squeeze here.Note
B-but muh i-inflation!Note
There is no doubt that those who are invested in the unreal (inflation) will be viciously squeezed:Note
Commercials are the most long UST in 3 years, while large speculators are equally short. Bonds are about to have an ungodly short squeeze. Goodbye inflation narrative.Note
Seems I am getting quite good at catching bottom ticks!Trade closed manually
Closed for 10.70 debit (+24.4% gain), Will look to re-enter but I am afraid of the risk parity event which is drawing near
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Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.