Treasury yields have been sliding since April. Now, after a two-month pause, some traders may see further downside.

The first pattern on today’s chart is the series of lower highs since mid-July. TNX could be stalling at the same resistance, potentially confirming the downtrend.

Second is the December low around 3.785. Yields tried to hold that level in August but remained mostly below it in September. Is the level breaking?

Third, stochastics have reached an overbought condition. (Notice the white arrows on the lower study.)

Next, TNX is still about 50 basis points above last year’s low. That may cause some chart watchers to see space for a move lower.

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