TON → Sideways Forever! Until Now?? Let's Maximize Your Profits.

Updated
TON has been meandering sideways for weeks after its bear drop in November. Are we ready to take a trade?

How do we trade this? 🤔
We have a gap to the previous Support Area, price rejection at the Daily 200EMA, a useless RSI reading, and Bitcoin hinting at a move to the downside. This isn't a perfect setup, but we have enough to consider a small position 1:1 Risk/Reward scalp to the downside. Wait for a break below the 30EMA with a bear candle closing on or near its low. It's then reasonable, with a small position size, to take a short trade back to the Support Area. Keep an eye on Bitcoin's behavior as well. A good dive from Bitcoin could take the rest of the market in that direction.


💡 Trade Idea 💡

Short Entry: $2.1750
🟥 Stop Loss: $2.2700
✅ Take Profit: $2.0800
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:1


🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑

1. Price Rejected above 200EMA.
2. Gap to Support area, Bias to short.
3. Wait for Bull Sell Candle Closing Below 30EMA
4. RSI at 50.00 and Above Moving Average, Indecision.
5. Bitcoin may Pullback or Reverse, could influence TON Price.


💰 Trading Tip 💰
Lower probability trades with Risk/Reward Ratios around 1:1 should have small position sizes. The risk is too great and the probability doesn't carry enough to make the trade worth risking your maximum allowed loss.


⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk!


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Note
snapshot

We never got our sell confirmation below the 30EMA! In fact, TON printed the opposite for us. Per my analysis, this trade should have never been executed because the conditions were not met.

TON is not a great currency pair to trade on the higher timeframes right now. At best, trade small in this trading range (about a 10% span), either fade your positions to either extreme of the range amounting to no more than 0.25% of your equity or just stay out of it all together. I'll be looking for a breakout of TON before considering a trade entry, there are plenty of other currency pairs offering more definitive trading patterns and trends.

A new analysis will come out as soon as we get a good setup!
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-Joe Dean
Trader Engineering Course
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