TeslaLong
Tesla (TSLA) Elliott Wave Analysis: Uptrend Opportunities
Higher Time Frame (HTF) Perspective (Weekly Chart)
Tesla has been in a strong uptrend since April 22, 2024, when it bounced from a major demand zone after being in a downtrend science Nov 2021.
with a clear Elliot wave 1,2,and 3 formations,
the impulsive Wave 3 on the HTF appears complete, with an expected retracement to Wave 4 levels in the $326–$293 zone, which aligns with a major demand area. This zone could serve as an excellent entry point for the next impulsive Wave 5 upward.
Lower Time Frame (LTF) Perspective (4H Chart)
Within the broader Wave 3, we see a potential wave extension forming as the 4H Wave 5, targeting the $470 level (1.618 Fibonacci extension of the Wave 3 move).
A strong resistance area is forming near the $365 swing high, which must be cleared for further upside confirmation.
Strategy Breakdown
1. Scenario: Bullish Continuation
Buy Stop Entry: Place a buy stop order above the last swing high at ~$365 to confirm breakout momentum.
Stop Loss: Below the swing low at ~$320, protecting against false breakouts.
Take Profit Target: Aim for $470, the projected extension of the lower timeframe Wave 5.
This setup ensures capturing the next leg higher while avoiding premature entries.
2. Scenario: Bearish Pullback
If the price fails to break above $365 and pulls back, monitor the broader HTF Wave 4 retracement.
Key demand zones are at $326–$293, supported by:
Fibonacci retracement levels (50%–61.8% of the Wave 3 move).
Historical accumulation zones.
Action: Wait for consolidation or bullish reversal patterns in this zone before entering long positions for the anticipated HTF Wave 5 targeting higher highs.
Risk-Reward Analysis
Upside Potential: From a confirmed breakout at $365, the potential gain to $470 offers a reward of approximately 105/share, which is a 29% upside.
Downside Risk: With a stop loss at $320, the risk per share is about 45/share, yielding a Risk-Reward Ratio of ~1:2.3.
Adjust position sizing to maintain your account's risk tolerance (e.g., 1%-2% per trade).
Analysis Summary
Tesla's technical setup provides two viable trade scenarios:
Riding the LTF Wave 5 to $470 if the $365 resistance breaks.
Waiting for the HTF Wave 4 pullback to the $326–$293 demand zone for a safer long entry.
"Be patient, monitor volume and momentum, and let price action confirm your entries."
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trade responsibly and consider consulting a financial advisor before making trading decisions.
Tesla has been in a strong uptrend since April 22, 2024, when it bounced from a major demand zone after being in a downtrend science Nov 2021.
with a clear Elliot wave 1,2,and 3 formations,
the impulsive Wave 3 on the HTF appears complete, with an expected retracement to Wave 4 levels in the $326–$293 zone, which aligns with a major demand area. This zone could serve as an excellent entry point for the next impulsive Wave 5 upward.
Lower Time Frame (LTF) Perspective (4H Chart)
Within the broader Wave 3, we see a potential wave extension forming as the 4H Wave 5, targeting the $470 level (1.618 Fibonacci extension of the Wave 3 move).
A strong resistance area is forming near the $365 swing high, which must be cleared for further upside confirmation.
Strategy Breakdown
1. Scenario: Bullish Continuation
Buy Stop Entry: Place a buy stop order above the last swing high at ~$365 to confirm breakout momentum.
Stop Loss: Below the swing low at ~$320, protecting against false breakouts.
Take Profit Target: Aim for $470, the projected extension of the lower timeframe Wave 5.
This setup ensures capturing the next leg higher while avoiding premature entries.
2. Scenario: Bearish Pullback
If the price fails to break above $365 and pulls back, monitor the broader HTF Wave 4 retracement.
Key demand zones are at $326–$293, supported by:
Fibonacci retracement levels (50%–61.8% of the Wave 3 move).
Historical accumulation zones.
Action: Wait for consolidation or bullish reversal patterns in this zone before entering long positions for the anticipated HTF Wave 5 targeting higher highs.
Risk-Reward Analysis
Upside Potential: From a confirmed breakout at $365, the potential gain to $470 offers a reward of approximately 105/share, which is a 29% upside.
Downside Risk: With a stop loss at $320, the risk per share is about 45/share, yielding a Risk-Reward Ratio of ~1:2.3.
Adjust position sizing to maintain your account's risk tolerance (e.g., 1%-2% per trade).
Analysis Summary
Tesla's technical setup provides two viable trade scenarios:
Riding the LTF Wave 5 to $470 if the $365 resistance breaks.
Waiting for the HTF Wave 4 pullback to the $326–$293 demand zone for a safer long entry.
"Be patient, monitor volume and momentum, and let price action confirm your entries."
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trade responsibly and consider consulting a financial advisor before making trading decisions.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.