🚨 Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your own research before making any trading or investment decisions.
Key Insights:
Elliott Wave Framework: - Tesla is displaying a bullish Elliott Wave structure on the weekly timeframe. - The chart highlights a completed Cycle Wave I, followed by a sharp corrective Cycle Wave II, and the beginning stages of Cycle Wave III. - Within Cycle Wave III, Tesla is currently completing Primary Wave (I) and preparing for a pullback into Primary Wave (II).
Current Price Action: - Tesla is trading at $403.84, with a notable upward trend since the bottom of Wave II. - The immediate resistance lies near $500 - $525, marking the end of Wave (I).
Support & Resistance Levels:
Key Support Levels: - $350 - $325: A strong demand zone and potential area for Wave (II) completion. - Invalidation Level: $102.13, which would invalidate the current bullish structure.
Resistance Levels: - $500 - $525: Expected resistance for the completion of Wave (I). - Long-term targets near $600+ for Cycle Wave III.
Projected Path: - After completing Wave (I) near $500-$525, Tesla is expected to undergo a corrective Wave (II), possibly retracing to $350 - $325. - The next impulsive Wave (III) within Cycle Wave III will likely push Tesla toward $600+.
Actionable Plan:
For Long-Term Investors:
Consider holding through any corrective phases, as the macro trend remains bullish. Look to accumulate shares during the expected Wave (II) correction between $350 - $325.
Fundamentals: - Tesla's growing dominance in EVs and energy solutions supports its long-term bullish outlook. - Production ramp-up in Giga Texas and Berlin could fuel the next growth phase.
Macro Trends: - Fed interest rate decisions and overall tech sector performance will impact valuation. - Expansion of renewable energy and EV incentives globally.
Final Thoughts: Tesla's long-term growth potential remains intact, supported by strong fundamentals and a clear Elliott Wave structure. While short-term corrections may occur, the macro bullish trend offers significant opportunities for long-term investors and swing traders alike.
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