The short-term shock caused by the FOMC rate hike on September 21, 2022 can be extinguished and the $311 resistance level can be crossed to jump up. With AI Day 2 on September 30 and the announcement of 3Q shipments around October 5, it is likely to jump up to the previous high of $380 ($1,140 before the stock split). Even if AI Day 2 is not as well understood by the general public and Wall Street as last year's AI Day, we expect the stock price to remain high until at least October 4, due to its excellent shipment volume in the third quarter. If the content of AI Day 2 is a surprise, its share price will rise very high. In particular, if you announce a clear schedule for the Tesla robots and 'FSD beta wide release', which is expected at the end of December, you can expect to break through the previous high of $410 ($1230 before the stock split). It may be possible to receive a slight adjustment around October 29, the 3rd quarter earnings release date. After the 3Q earnings release, the S&P 500's credit rating upgrade may be announced by early to mid-November. This announcement could be a clear jump-up momentum for TSLA, similar to the news of the November 17, 2019 S&P 500 inclusion. After that, if the wide release of FSD beta is really realized by the end of December, we can expect a jump up to $500 ($1500 before the stock split). Of course, there may be a slight correction in the stock price immediately afterward. However, a few days later, if shipments for 2022 are announced at the beginning of January 2023 and earnings for 2022 are announced at the end of January 2023 and earnings forecasts for 2023 are very good, the $500 level can be maintained. In particular, in 2023, if economies of scale are clearly achieved based on a clear ramp-up of two new factories and mass production of cyber trucks and semi-trucks is realized, $600 ($1,800 before stock split) will be raised in the second quarter of 2023 It is possible to achieve within.
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