Currently trading at $219, TSLA recording a very weak reaction to the recent robotaxi news. However, with a neutral to bullish stance reflected in its technical indicators, I foresee a medium-term buying opportunity with a highly favorable risk-reward ratio of over 3:1.
Let's see the details:
Weekly Technical Analysis:
Oscillators
Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14): Value: 50.72 Action: Neutral
These oscillators in neutral territory leave ample room for the stock to run in the current favorable market conditions, furthermore:
MACD Level (12, 26): Value: 9.06 Action: Buy
Momentum (10): Value: 18.17 Action: Buy
The combination of MACD and momentum indicators points to bullish potential that could propel the stock in the coming weeks.
Now let's examine the trend analysis
Moving Averages:
Short-term (10, 20): Both EMAs and SMAs are currently in sell territory, indicating potential resistance at these levels.
Medium-term (30, 50, 100): These moving averages are signaling a buy, suggesting a transition to a more bullish phase.
While short-term sell signals from the analyzed moving averages indicate that selling pressure remains, the medium-term outlook is significantly more supportive of a bullish scenario. Along with oscillators, this tilts the balance toward the buy side.
Trading Strategy
Entry Point: Consider entering a long position at the current market price, with a stop loss set at $198 to protect against potential downside. Target Price: Aim for a target of $283, which offers strong upside potential relative to the risk.
Risk-Reward Analysis
The risk-reward ratio for this trade is compelling. With a target of $283 and a stop loss at $198, this setup offers significant upside, with potential gains exceeding the risks by more than three times.
Conclusion
Given the current technical indicators, Tesla presents a promising opportunity for traders. Bullish signals from the MACD and momentum indicators, combined with strategic entry and target levels, suggest a strong potential for upward movement. However, remain vigilant and adjust your strategy as market conditions evolve.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading involves risk, and you should do your own research before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Tomorrow, likely after the open, I’ll be adjusting my stop, moving it up to account for the local low that’s already set. I usually manage a 2-sigma stop loss in these trades and use a trailing strategy.
Stay tuned for tomorrow’s update, where I’ll get more specific on the stop level!
Trade active
I typically use a stop loss based on a 2-sigma event that considers momentum. For TSLA on the 4-hour chart, the stop loss is set at 214.33, where I’m adjusting the stop loss for this position to optimize the risk-reward ratio.
FYI: You can find the stop loss calculator tool published on my profile. In the post that goes with it, you can check out the description and how to use the specific tool I used to calculate the stop.
Trade closed: target reached
We've reached our target following Trump’s election as the new president! 💥
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.