1. Bull Case
Support & Potential Reversal Zones
$275–$280 appears to be the next support band on the Volume Profile.
$255–$238 also shows elevated volume, potentially acting as a secondary support if $275 fails.
Oversold Momentum Indicators
RSI is around 39, nearing oversold territory (<40). A reversal above 50 would signal renewed bullish momentum.
Stochastics around 20 is also in oversold range, hinting a short‐term bounce could be on deck.
Moving Averages (MAs)
The stock is trading below short‐term MAs (likely 9, 21, 50‐day).
Bullish trigger: A daily close above the 50‐day MA (currently near $340–$350) with rising volume would strongly suggest a bottom is in.
Upside Targets
$341–$353: Initial resistance from prior swing lows and converging MAs.
$415: Next major supply zone if TSLA can reclaim and hold above $353.
$488–$550: Longer‐term targets if a strong bullish trend re‐emerges.
Bullish Confirmation:
A bounce off $275–$280 or $255–$2188.
Momentum turning positive: RSI > 50 and Stochastics crossing up from oversold.
2. Bear Case
Downtrend & Lower Highs
TSLA has made lower highs since its peak (~$550), indicating a persistent downtrend.
The descending trendline from $490–$415–$353 remains intact.
Momentum Oscillators
RSI < 50 and drifting near 39: still in the bearish zone.
PMO (~-2.8 / -5.3) suggests ongoing negative momentum.
Further Downside Levels
If $275 breaks, next high‐volume nodes are around $255–$238.
A drop below $238 could open the door to $219, then the bigger gap area near $170 or even $138 if the sell‐off accelerates.
Moving Averages
Price is below key MAs, which have likely started rolling over (bearish slope).
Until price reclaims them, rallies may be short‐lived.
Bearish Confirmation:
A daily close below $275 .
RSI remains under 40, and PMO continues trending downward.
3. Which Side Is TSLA Currently Inclined Toward?
Short‐Term Bias: Bearish
Price remains below short‐term MAs, RSI < 50, and a negative PMO all point to continued downside or at best a weak bounce.
Possible Bounce:
Stochastics/RSI oversold suggests a short‐term relief rally is possible, but any upside must reclaim $340–$350 to meaningfully change the trend.
Overall, bears have the upper hand unless TSLA defends a strong support (like $275–$280) and reverses, pushing RSI back above 50. If support fails, expect further downside toward $255–$238 and potentially lower $218.
Support & Potential Reversal Zones
$275–$280 appears to be the next support band on the Volume Profile.
$255–$238 also shows elevated volume, potentially acting as a secondary support if $275 fails.
Oversold Momentum Indicators
RSI is around 39, nearing oversold territory (<40). A reversal above 50 would signal renewed bullish momentum.
Stochastics around 20 is also in oversold range, hinting a short‐term bounce could be on deck.
Moving Averages (MAs)
The stock is trading below short‐term MAs (likely 9, 21, 50‐day).
Bullish trigger: A daily close above the 50‐day MA (currently near $340–$350) with rising volume would strongly suggest a bottom is in.
Upside Targets
$341–$353: Initial resistance from prior swing lows and converging MAs.
$415: Next major supply zone if TSLA can reclaim and hold above $353.
$488–$550: Longer‐term targets if a strong bullish trend re‐emerges.
Bullish Confirmation:
A bounce off $275–$280 or $255–$2188.
Momentum turning positive: RSI > 50 and Stochastics crossing up from oversold.
2. Bear Case
Downtrend & Lower Highs
TSLA has made lower highs since its peak (~$550), indicating a persistent downtrend.
The descending trendline from $490–$415–$353 remains intact.
Momentum Oscillators
RSI < 50 and drifting near 39: still in the bearish zone.
PMO (~-2.8 / -5.3) suggests ongoing negative momentum.
Further Downside Levels
If $275 breaks, next high‐volume nodes are around $255–$238.
A drop below $238 could open the door to $219, then the bigger gap area near $170 or even $138 if the sell‐off accelerates.
Moving Averages
Price is below key MAs, which have likely started rolling over (bearish slope).
Until price reclaims them, rallies may be short‐lived.
Bearish Confirmation:
A daily close below $275 .
RSI remains under 40, and PMO continues trending downward.
3. Which Side Is TSLA Currently Inclined Toward?
Short‐Term Bias: Bearish
Price remains below short‐term MAs, RSI < 50, and a negative PMO all point to continued downside or at best a weak bounce.
Possible Bounce:
Stochastics/RSI oversold suggests a short‐term relief rally is possible, but any upside must reclaim $340–$350 to meaningfully change the trend.
Overall, bears have the upper hand unless TSLA defends a strong support (like $275–$280) and reverses, pushing RSI back above 50. If support fails, expect further downside toward $255–$238 and potentially lower $218.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.