The yield curve has inverted, how to overcome this?
Updated
Content:
• Difference between interest rate and yield?
• Why it is important to note of yield curve inversion?
• How to tell when Yields are inverted?
• What is the long-term trend for interest rates and yields
• How to manage a rising yield?
Disclaimer:
• What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker.
• Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises.
1. Difference between interest rate and yield?
i. Interest rates are a benchmark for borrowers and
ii. Yields are for lenders. For eg. investors to the U.S. government
iii. Both interest rates and yields move in tandem together
3. Why is it important to note yield inversion?
i. For eg. - when the return on a 30-years yield is lower than the 2-year yield, that indicates a
ii. For lenders or investors – a pessimistic outlook, a reluctance to commit their money to the longer-term bond, they prefer short-term deposits as the market is unclear in the long-term.
iii. For borrowers – most individuals or companies have shorter-term borrowing, for eg a 2 years fixed rate or a bridging loan. When the yields are inverted, suddenly they find them paying more on interest rates repayment.
Since interest rates and yields move in tandem, expect the shorter-term lending rates to go higher. This will hurt companies and individuals who have higher leverage items on their books.
If you are into shorter-term trading, do look into the market with live feed data.
I am starting an inflation series, in the next video tutorial, we will discuss why inflation is happening not just in U.S. but all around the world.
Micro 10 Years Yield Futures
0.001 = US$1
3.488 = 3488 x US$1 = US$3,488
3188 to 3488 = 300 x US$1 = US$300
• Difference between interest rate and yield?
• Why it is important to note of yield curve inversion?
• How to tell when Yields are inverted?
• What is the long-term trend for interest rates and yields
• How to manage a rising yield?
Disclaimer:
• What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker.
• Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises.
1. Difference between interest rate and yield?
i. Interest rates are a benchmark for borrowers and
ii. Yields are for lenders. For eg. investors to the U.S. government
iii. Both interest rates and yields move in tandem together
3. Why is it important to note yield inversion?
i. For eg. - when the return on a 30-years yield is lower than the 2-year yield, that indicates a
ii. For lenders or investors – a pessimistic outlook, a reluctance to commit their money to the longer-term bond, they prefer short-term deposits as the market is unclear in the long-term.
iii. For borrowers – most individuals or companies have shorter-term borrowing, for eg a 2 years fixed rate or a bridging loan. When the yields are inverted, suddenly they find them paying more on interest rates repayment.
Since interest rates and yields move in tandem, expect the shorter-term lending rates to go higher. This will hurt companies and individuals who have higher leverage items on their books.
If you are into shorter-term trading, do look into the market with live feed data.
I am starting an inflation series, in the next video tutorial, we will discuss why inflation is happening not just in U.S. but all around the world.
Micro 10 Years Yield Futures
0.001 = US$1
3.488 = 3488 x US$1 = US$3,488
3188 to 3488 = 300 x US$1 = US$300
Note
A correction to make here. The micro yield futures was launched last year instead.
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Disclaimer
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