I know it looks good at this exact moment in time but that spike move we just had was so sus. It's really the sort of thing I expect to be dealing with when following a downtrend.
Sell > big profit.
Sell > big profit
Sell > WTF was that
Oh correction > Sell > Big profit.
I could stack up odds that put the odds of a rally in this area at around 90% (Which is crazy high for the way I estimate odds).
But that might have been it. I may have terribly misjudged how deep it would be.
If I have this wrong, 4500 in MIN I've expect to hit and if that level breaks we might capitulate to 3000.
EXTREMELY STRONG WARNING TO ANYONE USING ANY OF THE BULL IDEAS I'VE EXPESSED.
If they're good, they'll be good and easy - and if not, ditch the ideas! They would be predicted to fail spectacularly if wrong.
Probably around 5170 area.
Sell > big profit.
Sell > big profit
Sell > WTF was that
Oh correction > Sell > Big profit.
I could stack up odds that put the odds of a rally in this area at around 90% (Which is crazy high for the way I estimate odds).
But that might have been it. I may have terribly misjudged how deep it would be.
If I have this wrong, 4500 in MIN I've expect to hit and if that level breaks we might capitulate to 3000.
EXTREMELY STRONG WARNING TO ANYONE USING ANY OF THE BULL IDEAS I'VE EXPESSED.
If they're good, they'll be good and easy - and if not, ditch the ideas! They would be predicted to fail spectacularly if wrong.
Probably around 5170 area.
Trade active
🐻 **New SPX Sell signal**📈 **New Entry**
• **Asset Traded:** SPX
• **Buy/Sell:** Sell
───────
🎯 **Trade Levels**
• **Entry Price:** 5,111.00
• **Stop Loss:** 5,271.00
• **Take Profit:** 4,650.00
───────
⚖️ **Risk Metrics**
*These risk metrics are based on a bankroll of $6,000*
• **Position (Lot) Size:** 0.75
• **Percentage Risked:** 2%
• **Risk in Dollars:** $120.00
• **Risk in Points:** 160.00
• **Starting Risk:Reward:** 2.88
⏰ *Signal generated at 2025-04-08 23:47 GMT / 19:47 EST*
💵 *Price at time of entry → 5,111.00*
Note
Out all SPX longs 5130. Note
Sized up on short bet and bought a bunch of deep deep OTM puts. 📊 **CFD high win rate $12,000**
🐻 **New SPX Sell signal**
📈 **New Entry**
• **Asset Traded:** SPX
• **Buy/Sell:** Sell
───────
🎯 **Trade Levels**
• **Entry Price:** 5,250.00
• **Stop Loss:** 5,397.00
• **Take Profit:** 4,350.00
───────
⚖️ **Risk Metrics**
*These risk metrics are based on a bankroll of $12,000*
• **Position (Lot) Size:** 3.10
• **Percentage Risked:** 3.8%
• **Risk in Dollars:** $456.00
• **Risk in Points:** 147.00
• **Starting Risk:Reward:** 6.12
⏰ *Signal generated at 2025-04-08 14:31 GMT / 10:31 EST*
💵 *Price at time of entry → 5,250.00*
*Price correct as per IC Markets CFDs*
We may be inside of a crash event to 3000 in SPX.
Read the full case with backlog of historic analysis/forecasts here: holeyprofitnewsletter.substack.com/p/the-case-for-3000-in-spx
Read the full case with backlog of historic analysis/forecasts here: holeyprofitnewsletter.substack.com/p/the-case-for-3000-in-spx
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
We may be inside of a crash event to 3000 in SPX.
Read the full case with backlog of historic analysis/forecasts here: holeyprofitnewsletter.substack.com/p/the-case-for-3000-in-spx
Read the full case with backlog of historic analysis/forecasts here: holeyprofitnewsletter.substack.com/p/the-case-for-3000-in-spx
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.