Long

US500 (SPX) Outlook 4/10

Updated
Bullish on indicies, but expecting price to do a little dance first. these are the areas im watching.
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snapshot long of the hourly OB
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snapshot still in this, gave it room to the invalidation of the OB and added a second position.
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STOP "entering early" your entry schematic is both lower risk AND usually higher RR. There is zero reason to enter early as if it is going to play, you will be given entry. wait for the first 15min OB to form. snapshot
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snapshot going breakeven-ish
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Going fully break even.
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snapshot had to give it room. hasnt been the most fun ride lol.
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snapshot TP1 hit.
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snapshot reducing final TP, Sl moved to profit.
Trade closed: target reached
snapshot TP2 hit. Fully closed out.
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snapshot Short on SPX
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snapshot giving it breathing room so spread doesnt take me out.
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might be on the wrong side here, but jut going to let it play out.
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snapshot manually closed.
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snapshot short again.
Trade closed: stop reached
was stopped out during london. good thing too because CPI was not on my side and would have slipped me had the trade been open. was baited into this trade. wasnt an opportune time to be trading anyway.
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i am pretty certain a big short is coming for last week's low. Just need something to confirm it.
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snapshot
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snapshot first attempt here off a 5min breakdown, we are in deep premium so a riskier approach is justified. will likely attempt one more time if this fails. snapshot
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snapshot this is what i would want to see play, but lets see what actually develops.
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snapshot very nice reaction. SL at break even. If we trade below the low before news i will be looking to add to this short.
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pretty major retracement. willing to give it back full risk. okay with being stopped out if price wants to put in another high.
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snapshot alright now im way more comfortable with SL at BE and wont be moving it.
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snapshot still looking to add.
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snapshot adding here.
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didnt get the opportunity to add. will leave trade on the market for a bit longer. an absolutely glorious rejection candle is printing on the 12H. snapshot
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deleting second position. price has moved too far away for my liking.
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snapshot pretty confident this completes however this balanced range could cause problems. OR price could pass through it and use it to keep pushing down. Leaving TPs as is for now.
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snapshot will add here if tapped in
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snapshot tapped into second position. changed RR
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No more entries off breakers, all breakers need a confirming OB prior to entry.
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stopped out second position, still holding first.
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NAS was so much better behaved than SPX today.
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got a little carried away today. Should have closed first position or taken most of around 5R and looked for opportunities after that, that would have been the proper risk averse approach. Still holding initial position.
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snapshot back on the move.
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snapshot stop moved to the daily open price.
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Yea not giving anything back here, moving my SL to sandwich price with my TP for my 80% position.
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snapshot
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snapshot 80% off, 20 running to final TP.
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snapshot while i took profit early it's ecnouraging to see how sensitive price was off the outer ends of the TP range.

Which was based on a 4H orderblock.
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snapshot runners stopped out in profit at weekly open. Trade fully collapsed.
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I really dont see price making it through this balanced range area. Taking a short position in SPX. snapshot
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snapshot updated with TPs
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snapshot initial reaction is favorable, but not out of the weeds till the daily turns bearish.
Trade closed: stop reached
snapshot
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will see what PM session brings
Trend Analysis

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