SP500: Markets watch for JOLTs and corporate results

This Tuesday, October 29, 2024, marks the start of a pivotal week for the markets, with several key reports that will define the trend of the coming days. In addition to corporate results and the JOLTs survey, multiple relevant economic indicators will be released throughout the day. Here are the five key highlights for today:

1. U.S. JOLTs survey.
Today at 15:00 (Spanish time), the JOLTs survey will be released, revealing the number of job openings in the United States. This report will be crucial to understand the state of the labor market before the expected employment report this Friday. 8.04 million offers are expected, a slight increase from the previous 7.99 million, while job quits are estimated at 3.08 million. These data are crucial ahead of the employment report to be released on Friday.

2. Corporate results
Some of the major companies reporting their results today include Banco Santander, Alphabet, Pfizer and AMD. These reports will have a strong impact and these results are expected to set the pace for the market, particularly in key sectors such as technology, pharmaceuticals and banking.

Additional note: Who are the “Magnificent 7” backing?

In addition, the tech giants, known as the “Magnificent 7” (Apple, Microsoft, Alphabet, Amazon, Nvidia, Meta and Tesla), have been in the spotlight for their financial support of the U.S. presidential campaign.
Kamala Harris has received majority support from these companies, with the notable exception of Tesla, given Elon Musk's open support for Trump, which stands out in the political donation charts. This endorsement reinforces the influence of techs not only in the markets, but also in the political arena.

3. Volatility in cryptocurrencies and commodities.
Cryptocurrencies continue to show volatility, with Bitcoin trading around $71,000 and Ethereum at $2,600. In addition, gold futures are holding around $2,763, while U.S. coffee is trading at $252.

4. Asian movements
Asian indices show mixed signs, with rises in the Nikkei and Hang Seng, while the Shanghai Composite slips 0.8%. In Japan, job-to-applicant ratio (1.23) and unemployment rate (2.5%) figures were released, both in line with expectations.

5. European Movements and Wall Street Today
In Europe, highlights include the GfK consumer confidence index in Germany (-21) and Eurozone quarterly GDP (0.2%). In the United Kingdom, data such as mortgages and consumer credit will be released. On Wall Street, the previous day closed in positive territory, with the S&P 500 (+0.2%) and the Dow Jones (+0.6%) standing out. In addition, in the US, the Redbook index and the Conference Board's consumer confidence index will also be published.

6. Debt auctions and other financial indicators
During the day, several countries will hold debt auctions, including Japan, New Zealand and the US, with a special focus on the US 7-year bond auction. In addition, reports related to inflation in the US will be released, as well as weekly API crude oil stocks.

S&P 500 (AT Ticker: USA500)
S&P500 has been moving in the 5,832 points area this week with a bearish presence. Although its long term channel continues to have bullish presence and is moving above the middle zone of its long term channel, it currently appears to be generating a sideways movement since October 14 indicating this indecision in the US market regarding the election. JOLT survey data could extend the value above the current high. The RSI is indicating 58.08% and has been below the 200-day RSI average of 61.40%, this may be indicating that the market is undecided on a possible Trump victory despite consistent support from the magnanimous 7 for a Democratic party that does not appear to be convincing the majority of voters. The strong trading area of the checkpoint (POC) is located in the area of 5,636 points, so a correction could be anticipated this month in the direction of 5,700 points if today's data does not accompany.

The day is marked by a series of events that could generate movements in the markets, with the JOLTs survey and the results of important companies as key factors for investors.
Ion Jauregui - ActivTrades Analyst






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