USDCAD - accumulating orders .. early Jan 2025

Since late Sep, this pair has been moving strongly to the up side. Most of the retracements have been weak and shallow. But for the past 10 days, we have been witnessing a more persistent consolidation. Let us study the chart on the H4 time frame too:
snapshot
Note that there was 1 single H4 strongly bullish candle and since then more than 45 candles have been unable to break the high or low of that mother candle. These are commonly known as 'inside bars' or candles.
Obviously, at some point a breakout will happen. Since the preceding trend was bullish, a break out to the upside is more likely. However, that cannot be taken for granted. I would suggest that this chart be monitored on the H4 time frame and traded in the direction that PA indicates.
At this time, my own bias is bullish, so if I start seeing more strength and momentum with the bulls, I will consider taking a test long trade (50% position size) either at the bottom of the range or if price bounces up from the 20ema. Additional position(s) can be added if PA dictates. We do have room at least to 1.4510 before we see some resistance.

This is not a trade recommendation, merely my own analysis. Trading carries a high level of risk, so only trade with money you can afford to lose and carefully manage your capital and risk. If you like my idea, please give a “boost” and follow me to get even more. Please comment and share your thoughts too!!

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