As predicted last week, the USD/CAD pair has rebounded from a key demand area, in line with expectations. The latest Commitment of Traders (COT) report continues to highlight a bearish stance from retail traders, who are positioned at their most bearish levels since 2009. This sentiment contrasts with the recent price action, which suggests a potential recovery for the USD.
Today’s release of critical economic indicators, including the USD Core PPI m/m, PPI m/m, and Unemployment Claims, could provide further momentum to the USD. If these reports come in positive, they may serve as a catalyst for the USD to regain even more value against the CAD.
From a technical perspective, the USD/CAD pair is positioned in a strong demand zone, which has already facilitated a rebound. With retail traders remaining firmly bearish, the potential for a bullish move increases, especially if the upcoming data aligns favorably for the USD.
While the market waits for these key economic releases, traders are likely to keep a close eye on the indicators to assess the USD’s next move. A positive outcome could signal a further rally, reinforcing the recovery already underway. However, it's essential to stay patient and see how the data unfolds. The market reaction to today’s news will provide clearer direction for USD/CAD’s future trajectory.
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