USD/CAD 1HR Chart Analysis - A Long Opportunity May Be Close

USD/CAD had a fantastic move to the upside the first week of October which came to an end with a nice double-top reversal pattern last Thursday at 1.37850. Since then, we have had 2 pushes down and landed in a high-volume zone around 1.35800.

At this moment, we have a two-leg pull back and about 24 hours of sideways price action on USD/CAD. The longer the price action goes sideways, statistically, the more likely a reversal will occur. DXY is also nearing the 30EMA on the Daily chart, but with some room to fall.

These data points lead me to believe we may have to fall a bit more to find some bulls and get a "hot stove" response (a bull signal bar). If this occurs, I will be looking for confirmation around the top of the bear channel to make a long entry (around 1.35600) and take profits up to the previous high of around 1.37850. It all comes down to whether or not that bull reaction happens somewhere between here at 1.35800 and 1.35200.

Trade wisely and let us know what you think in the comment section below!
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-Joe Dean
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