Overview: We're currently observing a potential short opportunity on the USD/CAD 1-hour chart. The pair has been trading within a rising wedge pattern, which is often considered a bearish reversal signal. The price action is now showing signs of weakness near the upper boundary of this wedge, suggesting that a downside move could be imminent.
Trade Setup:
Entry: Current market price, anticipating a breakdown of the rising wedge pattern.
Stop-Loss: 0.00368 (0.27%) above the entry point, placed just above the recent resistance level. This level serves as a safe buffer in case of a false breakout.
Take-Profit: 0.01105 (0.82%) below the entry point, targeting the previous major support zone. This gives us a solid Risk/Reward ratio of 3:1, ensuring the potential reward significantly outweighs the risk.
Risk Management: The position size is calculated to limit the risk to a manageable level, with a total of 36.8 pips at risk (Amount: 750). The potential reward for this trade is approximately 110.5 pips (Amount: 1750.68).
Rationale: The rising wedge formation indicates a possible trend reversal. Combined with bearish divergence on momentum indicators (if applicable), this setup provides a compelling case for a short entry. The stop-loss is strategically placed above a significant resistance level to protect against a sudden upward move, while the take-profit target aligns with a key support zone, offering a favorable risk/reward ratio.
Note: As always, ensure proper risk management and consider market conditions before entering the trade. Happy trading!
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