The USD/CAD currency pair encountered strong resistance around the 1.3300 level during the New York session. This resistance was influenced by factors such as a cautious market sentiment, negative expectations for second-quarter corporate earnings, and a decline in the US Dollar Index (DXY) despite the anticipation of interest rate hikes. Additionally, the Canadian Dollar received support from rising oil prices, further impacting the currency pair's dynamics.
Market Analysis:
The S&P500 is expected to open on a negative note as investors adopt a cautious approach, considering the upcoming corporate earnings season. The anticipation of subdued earnings is primarily attributed to the Federal Reserve's decision to raise interest rates and the tightening credit conditions implemented by commercial banks. These measures aim to maintain asset quality amidst a potentially turbulent economic environment.
TRADE IDEA DETAILS
CURRENCY PAIR: USD/CAD
CURRENT TREND: Bearish
TRADE SIGNAL: SELL
👉ENTRY PRICE: Approximately 1.3300
✅TAKE PROFIT: Around 1.2500 - 1.3000
❌STOP LOSS: Approximately 1.3400
Economists at Société Générale have analyzed the Canadian Dollar's outlook and anticipate a decline in the USD/CAD pair below the 1.30 level. The relative rates between the US and Canada are likely at their peak for the current economic cycle, which should support the CAD going forward. While the possibility of further tightening by the Federal Reserve and potential rate hikes by the Bank of Canada may prevent a rapid movement, Société Générale expects a return to a trading range of 1.25-1.30 for USD/CAD by the end of the year.