USDCAD – Double Bottom Formation Signaling Potential Bullish Rev

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USDCAD – Double Bottom Formation Signaling Potential Bullish Reversal
Timeframe: 2-Hour (H2)
Pair: USD/CAD
Published: May 1, 2025
Pattern Type: Double Bottom (Bullish Reversal)

🧠 Technical Analysis Overview
This chart showcases a double bottom pattern, a reliable bullish reversal structure that forms after a sustained downtrend. The double bottom is confirmed by two distinct lows (Bottom 1 and Bottom 2) around the 1.3768 support zone, separated by a moderate peak or resistance level acting as the neckline.

The price action suggests a potential bullish reversal setup, as the second bottom respects previous support and exhibits strong bullish rejection.

🔍 Detailed Pattern Breakdown
✅ Bottom 1

Formed on April 19–20, 2025

Price found strong buying interest at 1.3768, rejecting further downside

Marked by a bullish reaction with subsequent rally

🔄 Interim Rally to Neckline
Price moved upward after Bottom 1

Formed a swing high/resistance around 1.3865

This level acts as the neckline of the double bottom

✅ Bottom 2
Formed on April 30 – May 1, 2025

Price again tested the same support zone at 1.3768, forming a higher low with similar rejection

Reinforces the validity of the support and double bottom formation

📈 Breakout Anticipation
The trade setup anticipates a breakout above the neckline (1.3865)

This would confirm the double bottom and suggest a potential bullish rally

📊 Trade Setup

Component Level Description
Entry (Buy) Above 1.3865 Upon breakout and close above resistance
Take Profit (TP) 1.3926 Target derived by projecting the height of the pattern above the neckline
Stop Loss (SL) 1.3768 Just below the double bottom support to manage risk

A clean break and close above 1.3865 with volume or momentum would act as a strong entry confirmation. Conservative traders may wait for a retest of the neckline post-breakout.

⚠️ Risk Management & Notes
Always wait for confirmation of breakout (e.g., bullish engulfing or strong close above 1.3865).

Avoid early entries within the consolidation zone between support and resistance.

Keep risk/reward ratio favorable (at least 1:2 suggested).

Be aware of upcoming news events that may impact USD or CAD volatility.

🔎 Conclusion
This is a textbook double bottom reversal on the H2 timeframe, with clearly defined support, neckline, and breakout target. If the price respects the structure and breaks above resistance, a bullish continuation toward 1.3926 becomes likely. Maintain discipline with entry confirmation and SL placement.

Disclaimer

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