Canadian dollar faces US data and Fed minutes - The loonie is under pressure from the US dollar, which could gain strength from the US PPI and the FOMC minutes. - The US PPI could indicate higher inflation, while the FOMC minutes could reaffirm the Fed's dovish stance. - The most important fact is that the US PPI is a leading indicator of inflation and could have a significant impact on the USD/CAD exchange rate.
Fed speakers and Logan's dovish remarks - The USD was weighed down by the Fed's Logan, who said there may be less need for the Fed to raise rates. - The USD also benefited from the safe haven demand due to the Israel-Palestine conflict. - The most important fact is that Logan's remarks contrasted with the hawkish narrative of the previous FOMC meeting.
Crude oil prices and Middle East war - The loonie is supported by the high crude oil prices, which are driven by the war in the Middle East. - The war could cause supply disruptions and increase the demand for oil. - The most important fact is that OPEC raised the demand forecast for oil, which could boost the loonie.
Building permit data from Canada - The loonie could also gain from the building permit data, which is expected to show a 0.5% growth. - The building permit data reflects the health of the construction sector and the housing market in Canada. - The most important fact is that the building permit data could signal a recovery in the Canadian economy.
USD/CAD outlook and levels - The USD/CAD pair is trading in a narrow range, with resistance at 1.2130 and support at 1.2050. - The pair could break out of this range depending on the outcome of the US data and the Fed minutes.
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