USDCAD: a major rebound expected between 1.2875 and 1.292

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Short-term Outlook
USDCAD failure to break above 1.3208 has led to another short-term pull-back. It is unlikely that recent downward move could turn into broader bearish sentiment.
In one possible scenario If price comes down more, it is expected to see a major rebound between 1.292 and 1.2875.

Expected price range for Sep 12 to Sep 16
65% probability : 1.29 - 1.314
95% probability: 1.274 - 1.33

Big Picture
Since Jun 2021 USDCAD rate has risen from the bottom of 1.201 to 1.322 which implies a slight bullish trend . It made a rising pattern which suggests a continuation upward move toward major resistances around 1.34, 1.35 and 1.43.
As long as USDCAD holds above 1.28 and 1.2875, overall rising trend would continue throughout the balance of 2022.

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